forecasting
Strategic Forecasting for Confident Decision-making
SAI MedPartners’ forecasting models are designed to align with your business goals, leveraging primary and secondary research to create detailed revenue projections and risk-adjusted financial analyses.
Integrated Team-based Forecasting for Enhanced Accuracy and Customization
A unified approach that ensures alignment and delivers tailored, comprehensive models to meet specific client needs.
Comprehensive Market Inputs
Primary Market Research
HCPs, patients, and payers
Market Access
Coverage and pricing analysis
Secondary Research + Competitive Intelligence
Epidemiology + competitive landscape
Forecast
Forecast
Customized Model Outputs
You adjust parameters to meet your needs
Market Size
Market Share
Price
Scenarios
Peak Revenue - Cost
Revenue X
PTRS = rNPV
We Offer Three Models for Our Forecasting Clients
Revenue model
- Utilizes epidemiology research to estimate the potential target patient population for the given indication
- Integrates Fulcrum’s market share assessments and pricing research to create an estimate of the likely market share
P&L model builds on the revenue model
- Adding cost assumptions, such as COGs, operations, and clinical trial costs
- Considering the launch date and loss of exclusivity (LOE)
- Evaluating three scenarios: base, pessimistic, and optimistic
- Assessing lingering sales post-LOE
eNPV (effective net present value) or rNPV (risk adjusted net present value)
- Built based on the NPV model with an additional layer of calculations to consider PTRS